Week 3 picks

Seems like a long time ago, doesn't it?

My epic battle with www.junkfoodguy.com has been anything but epic.  The old reliable BQB is a whopping 9-19-2 against the spread the past two weekends.  Thankfully JFG has been mediocre himself -- 13-15-2.

The good news?  I've hit one of two key picks (worth 5 bonus points), and JFG's missed on both.  So despite a 4 game lead, we're tied in the standings at 13 points a piece.

Last week's key pick was Arizona giving 2 points against the Giants in New Jersey.  I watched most of that game (amid a relatively weak early game schedule) and, I have to say, the Giants were every bit as bad as they were the previous Monday night against Detroit.  Although sample size is a little small, our friends at Football Outsiders have put together their DVOA ratings through 2 games.  New York is 31st of 32 (lowly Jacksonville is 32nd).  What's more, the Giants are consistently weak in all 3 phases -- 24th on defense, 30th on special teams, and dead last on offense.

Enter the Houston Texans, 2-0 and just 2.5 point favorites in East Rutherford on Sunday.  At some point, the Giants have to get a win.  I don't think they keep this one close.  Our key pick is against the Giants for a second straight week.  Key pick: Texans - 2.5.

Rest of the picks after the jump . . .