Friday, September 6, 2013

Week 1 picks

NBC needed the filler material early . . .
I guess the Ravens miss Ray Lewis.  Yesterday's post talked about how the Ravens would have to turn in an historically bad performance to not cover the spread.  Well, it happened.  Here's hoping for better luck with the rest of the week 1 picks:

SEASON OUTRIGHT: 1-0
SEASON, AGAINST THE SPREAD: 0-1

BILLS + 10 over Patriots (Pats to win outright) -- Patriots are severely depleted, EJ Manuel might be good, 10 points is way too much.

Titans +7 over STEELERS (Steelers to win) -- No way Pittsburgh should be giving 7 to anybody right now.

Falcons +3 over SAINTS (Saints to win) -- Two even teams, taking the points.

JETS + 3.5 over Bucs (Jets to win) -- The Bucs went 7-9 last year, the Jets 6-10.  The Jets probably make an upgrade at quarterback with Geno Smith, and they're playing at home.  So why are they getting more than a FG?  (Note: I'm sneakily high on the Jets this year. . .)

Chiefs -4 over JAGUARS -- No reason to think Jacksonville won't be historically bad this year.

BEARS -3 over Bengals -- The Marc Trestman era gets off to a smashing start.

BROWNS -1 over Dolphins  -- OC Norv Turner turns Brandon Weeden into a legitimate fantasy QB.

Seahawks -3.5 over PANTHERS  -- Believe the hype on Seattle.

Vikings +5 over LIONS (Lions to win)  -- Kind of silly that the line is this high.

Raiders + 10 over COLTS (Colts to win) -- Colts should regress this year, no reason anyone should be a double digit favorite in week 1, even if Matt McGloin or Terrelle Pryor are behind center in Oakland

Cardinals + 4.5 over RAMS (Rams to win outright) -- No strong opinion here.

NINERS -4.5 over Packers -- Packers ripe for a fall this year.

Giants + 3.5 over COWBOYS (Giants to win) -- Giants repay Dallas for spoiling last year's opening night party.

Eagles +3 over REDSKINS (Eagles to win) -- Philly might be sneaky-good this year.

CHARGERS + 3.5 OVER Texans (Texans to win) -- San Diego won 3 of 4 down the stretch last year, and might not be as bad as everyone thinks.  Take them getting more than a FG at home in primetime.

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