Week 7 Picks

Great Googly Moogly, the Ch(i)efs are 6-0!

At 6-0, the Chiefs seem like a pretty sure bet to make the playoffs.  As Fifth Down points out, only once since 1990 had a team started 6-0 and missed the playoffs (the '03 Vikings) . . .until the Chiefs' division rival the Broncos did it in 2009 (after the article was published).  We now have the interesting situation of having the league's only 2 undefeated teams in the same division, something that apparently hasn't happened this late int he season since the 30's.  All of which set up a pretty great Week 10 matchup between KC and Denver.  It says here both will win . . . and cover . . . this weekend.

LAST WEEK: 8-6 straight-up, 5-9 against the spread
THIS WEEK: 1-0 straight-up, 0-1 against the spread
SEASON TO DATE: 63-28 straight-up, 44-45-2

Patriots - 4.5 over JETS: Jets emerging as weaker than we might have thought.  Pats can win this one by a TD.

Cowboys + 2.5 over EAGLES (Cowboys to win): A pretty huge game in the NFC East.  Dallas just more talented on both sides of the ball, even without DeMarcus Ware.

FALCONS -7.5 over Bucs: Can't take Tampa on the road under any circumstances.

Bengals - 2.5 over LIONS: Detroit has been pretty up-and-down this season.  This feels like a fallback game after a solid win over Cleveland last week.

PANTHERS - 6.5 over Rams: Line is two points too low after St. Louis's shocking performance last week.

Bears + 1.5 over REDSKINS (Bears to win): Shocking line.

DOLPHINS - 8.5 over Bills: Miami coming off a bye, Bills got all the magic they could out of Thad Lewis already.

Chargers - 7.5 over JAGUARS: Not enough points to make me comfortable taking Jacksonville.

TITANS + 4.5 over Niners (Niners to win): Toughest pick of the weekend.  Ended up taking the points at home.

Browns + 10.5 over PACKERS (Packers to win): Too many points, Vegas overreacting to Browns' discouraging loss to Detroit.

Ravens -+1.5 over STEELERS (Ravens to win): Pittsburgh was really *not* impressive last week against the Jets.  Anyone who thinks the tide has turned based on that win is off base.

CHIEFS - 6.5 over Texans: Houston has to cover a game before I think about legitimately picking them the rest of the season.

Broncos - 6.5 over COLTS: Peyton Manning's swan song.  It really might be all downhill from here, but I say he puts up 45 on his former team.

Vikings + 3.5 over GIANTS (Vikings to win): How the Giants are more than 3 point favorites against anyone is seriously baffling to me.

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